Oscar Confidence Pool 2017/2018 Results

March 08, 2018

 T here’s a first time for everything! Yes, for the first time Trivia Club not only hosted an Oscar NIGHT Trivia event, and did some in The Hall at The Rec Room, but we also watched the 90th Academy Awards afterwards! Taking in all the awards festivities, the awards, and that one jet ski!

This year was also the first time that we held not one, but two different Oscar Pools, as a more traditional picks pool took place at The Rec Room! Those that watched live with us had the chance to take home a $100 gift card for The Rec Room as well as some movie passes for upcoming early spring popcorn fair! Bogdon T. of the Best Supporting Couple! picked 20 categories correctly and walked away with the prize! Congratulations to him, but remember there is a difference between an Oscar Pool and Trivia Club’s Oscar Confidence Pool! With an extra of unpredictability and game theory, the Confidence system saw yet another first this year…

2017/2018 is the first year that the person with the most POINTS, did not also have the most PICKS! Yes, that’s possible, because remember:

  1. Picks are made in the usual manner, and then...
  2. Those picks are ranked from 24 (most confident) to 1 (least confident). 
  3. The highest possible score is a wonderfully round 300 points.
The winner is the person with the most POINTS, with the number of correct picks breaking any ties.

For our SIXTH annual Oscar Pool, and the fifth annual celebration of the Confidence Pool, the past winners include The Electric Mayhem's Saad K. who was our first Oscar Pool victor in 2012/2013 with 17 correct picks! The Electric BastardsMatthew S. won the first Oscar Confidence Pool in 2013/2014 with a still unmatched 22 correct picks for 290 points! In 2014/2015 it was Oliver D. who won our third Pool with 20 correct picks for 270 points! The Cunning StuntsMark P. won in 2015/2016 with 18 correct picks for 257 points and then Mark P. was the first person to repeat as Oscar Confidence Pool winner with 242 points on 17 correct picks in 2016/2017!

Now our results, in a finish that could have gone any one of FOUR ways, and really went down to the wire, with confidence winning the day... yes, the 2018 OSCAR CONFIDENCE POOL goes to...

Rob M. of Three Atari Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2049 - 275 points (18 picks)

24. Makeup and Hairstyling - Darkest Hour
23. Adapted Screenplay - Call Me By Your Name
22. Best Actress - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
21. Animated Feature - Coco
20. Original Song - "Remember Me", Coco
19. Best Actor - Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
18. Best Supporting Actress - Allison Janney, I Tonya
17. Best Supporting Actor - Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards
16. Costume Design - Phantom Thread
15. Best Director - Guillermo del Toro
14. Visual Effects - Blade Runner 2049
13. Cinematography - Blade Runner 2049
12. Production Design - The Shape of Water
11. Original Screenplay - Get Out
10. Sound Mixing - Dunkirk
9. Film Editing - Baby Driver
8. Sound Editing - Dunkirk
7. Original Score - The Shape of Water
6. Best Picture - Get Out
5. Animated Short - Dear Basketball
4. Live Action Short - DeKalb Elementary
3. Foreign Language Film - The Square
2. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)
1. Documentary Feature - Faces Places


For the first time, as we noted above, the most picks did not win our Confidence Pool! Though Rob M. finished with three less correct picks then Mark P., it was his Confidence that was key this year! Putting his heart behind Baby Driver for Film Editing did not even do him in, neither did picking Get Out for Best Picture! As the only participant to not lose double-digit points on an incorrect pick, Rob M. becomes the sixth winner of Trivia Club's Oscar Pool, proving without a shadow of a doubt that the M. stands for Moneyball!


Mark P. of the Cunning Stunts - 271 points (21 picks)
24. Best Actress - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
23. Best Actor - Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
22. Animated Feature - Coco
21. Makeup and Hairstyling - Darkest Hour
20. Adapted Screenplay - Call Me By Your Name
19. Best Director - Guillermo del Toro
18. Best Supporting Actress - Allison Janney, I Tonya
17. Best Supporting Actor - Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards
16. Original Screenplay - Get Out
15. Original Score - The Shape of Water
14. Costume Design - Phantom Thread
13. Foreign Language Film - A Fantastic Woman, Chile
12. Documentary Feature - Faces Places
11. Original Song - "Remember Me", Coco
10. Animated Short - Dear Basketball
9. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)
8. Live Action Short - DeKalb Elementary
7. Cinematography - Blade Runner 2049
6. Sound Editing - Dunkirk
5. Sound Mixing - Dunkirk
4. Film Editing - Dunkirk
3. Production Design - The Shape of Water
2. Visual Effects - Blade Runner 2049
1. Best Picture - The Shape of Water

Our two-time Confidence Pool winner will not be making it a threepeat, proving how hard it is to threepeat with anything Trivia Club! Not for lack of picking though, as Mark P. would have won any traditional Oscar Pool with his 21 picks, three more then the three closest participants! Still, it was the higher ranking, compared to his competition, of the Documentary Feature and the two Short categories (traditionally very tough to nail down in any Pool), that made the four point difference this year between our winner and runner-up, giving Mark P. something to chase at the 91st Academy Awards!


James C. of the Unusual Suspects - 269 points (18 picks)
24. Animated Feature - Coco 
23. Costume Design - Phantom Thread 
22. Best Actor - Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 
21. Sound Editing - Dunkirk 
20. Film Editing - Dunkirk 
19. Best Supporting Actress - Allison Janney, I Tonya 
18. Best Actress  - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 
17. Adapted Screenplay - Call Me By Your Name 
16. Makeup and Hairstyling - Darkest Hour 
15. Foreign Language Film - A Fantastic Woman 
14. Best Director - Guillermo Del Toro  
13. Best Supporting Actor - Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 
12. Original Score - Phantom Thread 
11. Visual Effects - Blade Runner 2049 
10. Animated Short - Dear Basketball 
9. Original Screenplay - Get Out 
8. Production Design - The Shape of Water 
7. Best Picture - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
6. Documentary Feature - Icarus 
5. Original Song - "Mystery of Love", Call Me By Your Name 
4. Cinematography - Mudbound 
3. Sound Mixing - Dunkirk 
2. Live Action Short - DeKalb Elementary 
1. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)

James C. our reigning Summer Movie Wager winner, finished third in points off the strength of strong picks in the Documentary categories, but did not finish any higher thanks to not only Three Billboards being shut out of the Best Picture win, but also his 17 points, of 31 total lost, which were lost on Song/Score! Music was not in tune for this Unusual Suspect!


Peter M. of PETE! - 259 points (18 picks) 
24. Animated Feature - Coco 
23. Production Design - The Shape of Water 
22. Makeup and Hairstyling - Darkest Hour 
21. Costume Design - Phantom Thread 
20. Best Supporting Actor - Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 
19. Best Supporting Actress - Allison Janney, I Tonya 
18. Sound Editing - Dunkirk 
17. Adapted Screenplay - Call Me By Your Name 
16. Best Director - Guillermo del Toro 
15. Original Screenplay - Get Out 
14. Sound Mixing - Dunkirk 
13. Documentary Short - Edith and Eddie 
12. Documentary Feature - Faces Places 
11. Film Editing - Dunkirk 
10. Best Actress - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 
9. Original Score - The Shape of Water 
8. Cinematography - Blade Runner 2049 
7. Original Song - "Remember Me", Coco 
6. Animated Short - Lou 
5. Best Actor - Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread 
4. Live Action Short - Dekalb Elementary 
3. Best Picture - The Shape of Water 
2. Foreign Language Film - A Fantastic Woman 
1. Visual Effects - War for the Planet of the Apes

For Peter M., who has continued to improve his standing in each of the four years that he was competed in our Oscar Pool, 25 of the 41 points that were lost on confidence ranking were in the Documentary categories. Though he finished tied for second in correct picks, he finished fourth in points. Peter M. is also the only member of the top four this year who did not correctly pick the Best Actor category, though he rightfully ranked it low. Also ranking low was his correct Best Picture choice in what became an unpredictable category in the final month of Oscar voting!


Johnny H. of Jennifer Lawrence of Arabia - 214 points (13 picks)
Most confident correct pick: 24. Best Supporting Actor- Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards
Most confident incorrect pick: 21. Original Song - "This Is Me", The Greatest Showman
Least confident correct pick: 7. Costume Design - Phantom Thread
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)

Lukus B. of the Fighting Mongooses - 212 points (16 picks)
Most confident correct pick: 24. Cinematography - Blade Runner 2049
Most confident incorrect pick: 20. Best Picture - Call Me By Your Name
Least confident correct pick: 3. Original Song - "Remember Me", Coco
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Live Action Short - The Eleven O'Clock

Shelby of M. Night Shaym-Aliens - 208 points (16 picks)
Most confident correct pick: 23. Best Actress - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
Most confident incorrect pick: 24. Best Picture - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Least confident correct pick: 1. Makeup & Hairstyling - Darkest Hour
Least confident incorrect pick: 4. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)

Jarrad R. of Last Place Team - 208 points (13 picks)
Most confident correct pick: 24. Animated Featured - Coco
Most confident incorrect pick: 16. Best Picture - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Least confident correct pick: 5. Makeup & Hairstyling - Darkest Hour
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Live Action Short - My Nephew Emmett

Russel H. of Trivia Club - 206 points (13 picks)
Most confident correct pick: 24. Best Actress - Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
Most confident incorrect pick: 19. Cinematography - The Shape of Water
Least confident correct pick: 6. Foreign Language Film - A Fantastic Woman
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Documentary Short - Heroin(e)

Sam of Last Place Team - 196 points (15 picks) 
Most confident correct pick: 24. Best Director - Guillermo del Toro
Most confident incorrect pick: 21. Best Picture - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Least confident correct pick: 1. Live Action Short - The Silent Child
Least confident incorrect pick: 3. Animated Short - Negative Space

Bianca G. of Last Place Team - 193 points (13 picks) 
Most confident correct pick: 24. Animated Featured - Coco
Most confident incorrect pick: 22. Best Actress - Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Least confident correct pick: 4. Live Action Short - The Silent Child
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Foreign Language Film - Loveless

Tessa K. of Last Place Team - 182 points (12 picks) 
Most confident correct pick: 23. Best Director - Guillermo del Toro
Most confident incorrect pick: 24. Best Picture - Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Least confident correct pick: 4. Production Design - The Shape of Water
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Live Action Short - Watu Wrote/All of Us

James R. of Last Place Team - 181 points (11 picks)

Most confident correct pick: 24. Animated Feature - Coco
Most confident incorrect pick: 19. Best Director - Jordan Peele
Least confident correct pick: 5. Animated Short - Dear Basketball
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Foreign Language Film - Loveless

Travis F. of the Fighting Mongooses - 145 points (11 picks) 
Most confident correct pick: 23. Animated Feature - Coco
Most confident incorrect pick: 24. Best Picture - Call Me By Your Name
Least confident correct pick: 3. Documentary Feature - Icarus
Least confident incorrect pick: 1. Foreign Language Film - Loveless

Support Trivia Club on PatreonRussel Harder hosts Trivia Club at Hitch (1216 Queen St East) every MONDAY, at The Rec Room (255 Bremner Blvd) every TUESDAY, every 1st & 3rd WEDNESDAY at Farside, and every 2nd & 4th WEDNESDAY at The Ace! Every FRIDAY, a new episode of the Pause & Play podcast (a portable version of our live events) is available on SoundCloud & iTunes!

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